Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+64.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +73.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -33.0 | -2.0 | +35.2 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 20% | 51% | 21% | -2.8 | -5.5 | -3.4 | +11.7 |
| East 3 | Draw | 6% | 16% | 48% | 30% | +1.7 | -3.8 | +6.2 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 5% | 14% | 54% | 27% | -0.1 | +41.0 | -39.4 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 49% | 18% | 27% | -2.4 | +7.7 | -1.6 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 57% | 16% | 21% | +34.8 | -9.8 | -14.2 | -10.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 49% | 12% | 18% | -11.4 | -4.9 | -3.5 | +19.8 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun ron 1,500 from Tojyo Rio | 12% | 44% | 12% | 32% | 0.0 | +11.5 | -6.3 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 11% | 56% | 8% | 24% | +7.1 | -2.4 | -1.5 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 14% | 56% | 8% | 22% | -22.8 | -27.4 | +73.3 | -23.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 16% | 71% | 9% | -6.6 | +9.6 | -0.6 | -2.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 19% | 74% | 7% | -10.6 | -6.1 | +21.3 | -4.6 |