Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/6 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+57.7pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +25.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,200 from Yu Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -4.1 | -7.4 | -0.4 | +11.9 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 19% | 24% | 35% | -2.3 | -2.7 | +1.0 | +4.0 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 21% | 17% | 25% | 37% | +1.8 | -1.1 | -11.0 | +10.3 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 20% | 16% | 17% | 48% | -2.9 | +27.3 | -23.1 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 33% | 7% | 43% | -11.7 | -8.5 | -5.0 | +25.3 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 5% | 17% | 4% | 75% | -0.3 | -28.7 | +21.7 | +7.3 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 2% | 7% | 89% | +27.2 | -6.7 | -19.2 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 8% | 1% | 1% | 91% | -1.5 | +3.2 | -7.8 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | +10.1 | +0.5 | -6.2 | -4.4 |