Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -3.6 | +12.4 | -1.5 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 23% | 33% | 24% | 20% | +24.5 | -3.2 | -0.4 | -20.9 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 41% | 28% | 21% | 10% | -3.5 | +2.5 | -4.4 | +5.4 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 39% | 30% | 19% | 12% | -1.0 | +24.3 | -1.3 | -22.0 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 52% | 14% | 4% | -10.7 | 0.0 | -4.8 | +15.5 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 56% | 13% | 8% | +0.6 | -2.5 | -2.0 | +3.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 22% | 56% | 13% | 9% | +7.1 | +6.7 | -8.0 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 67% | 3% | 7% | -7.4 | +22.9 | +1.0 | -16.5 |