Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/7 Game 1
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 3,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -1.9 | +10.6 | -1.5 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 23% | 32% | 23% | 22% | +24.3 | -2.9 | +0.3 | -21.7 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 41% | 27% | 21% | 11% | -0.8 | +2.4 | -4.7 | +3.2 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 42% | 31% | 16% | 11% | -1.4 | +24.5 | -1.7 | -21.5 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 52% | 12% | 3% | -10.6 | -0.3 | -6.7 | +17.6 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 56% | 11% | 8% | -0.4 | -1.0 | -1.6 | +3.0 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 23% | 57% | 11% | 9% | +5.7 | +6.5 | -6.4 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 69% | 2% | 6% | -7.2 | +21.8 | +1.5 | -16.1 |