Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/9 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +51.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -9.6 | +15.6 | -1.5 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 36% | 22% | 23% | +11.6 | -8.3 | -3.5 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 27% | 29% | 21% | 24% | -4.7 | +0.4 | -0.3 | +4.5 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 29% | 20% | 27% | +39.3 | -9.8 | -8.5 | -20.9 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 59% | 18% | 12% | 11% | +17.8 | -7.5 | -4.9 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 79% | 9% | 7% | 5% | -0.3 | -1.8 | +6.2 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 82% | 7% | 7% | 5% | +1.5 | -6.4 | +2.1 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 9,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 87% | 2% | 6% | 5% | -1.5 | -2.1 | +25.6 | -21.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 83% | 1% | 14% | 2% | +1.5 | -5.9 | -9.2 | +13.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 92% | 0% | 4% | 4% | -1.1 | -3.8 | -2.3 | +7.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 6,000 | 90% | 0% | 4% | 6% | -3.9 | -13.4 | -8.1 | +25.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 0% | 3% | 10% | -31.4 | -5.7 | -14.4 | +51.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 21% | 0% | 1% | 78% | -8.2 | +0.7 | -0.1 | +7.6 |