Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/9 Game 2
Date Arisa finished 1st (+77.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Date Arisa tsumo 12,000, which moved Date Arisa's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +15.7 | +0.3 | -18.4 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 7,700 from Kurosawa Saki | 37% | 24% | 14% | 25% | +21.7 | -0.6 | -16.0 | -5.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 55% | 20% | 7% | 18% | -11.6 | -5.5 | -6.9 | +24.0 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 17% | 5% | 36% | -10.5 | -18.6 | -3.3 | +32.3 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 5% | 4% | 68% | -1.0 | -0.6 | -5.5 | +7.1 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 18% | 3% | 1% | 77% | -2.4 | -20.3 | +4.9 | +17.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 9% | 0% | 1% | 89% | +12.0 | +4.8 | -14.0 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 13% | 1% | 0% | 86% | -5.3 | -1.0 | +2.9 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 93% | -1.4 | -2.2 | -0.5 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 97% | +11.1 | +2.3 | -10.8 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 95% | +6.0 | +0.3 | -3.0 | -3.3 |