Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/9 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+77.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Arisa Date tsumo 12,000, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +17.1 | -1.9 | -16.4 | +1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 37% | 22% | 15% | 26% | +20.1 | -0.1 | -17.0 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 20% | 7% | 20% | -11.1 | -4.7 | -6.3 | +22.1 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 41% | 16% | 5% | 37% | -8.1 | -17.3 | -3.5 | +28.9 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 5% | 4% | 64% | -3.0 | -1.3 | -6.0 | +10.3 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 19% | 3% | 1% | 76% | -1.8 | -19.5 | +3.7 | +17.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 9% | 1% | 1% | 90% | +13.2 | +1.7 | -12.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 15% | 0% | 0% | 85% | -7.5 | +1.6 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 93% | -0.9 | -3.2 | -0.6 | +4.7 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +11.1 | +2.3 | -10.1 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 96% | +6.1 | +0.6 | -3.4 | -3.4 |