Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

2/10 Game 1

Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+68.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 18,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +36.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance	Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance	Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change	Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change
East 1	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	26%	24%	24%	26%	-3.2	+23.1	+0.4	-20.3
East 2	Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000	23%	41%	23%	14%	+25.7	-15.4	-4.0	-6.3
East 3	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Maruyama Kanako	43%	26%	21%	11%	-14.4	+21.6	-5.4	-1.8
East 4	Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000	28%	46%	16%	10%	+25.9	-5.9	-7.9	-12.1
South 1	Maruyama Kanako tsumo 18,000	53%	35%	9%	4%	+36.5	-18.6	-10.2	-7.7
South 1, 1 honba	Draw	92%	6%	2%	1%	+2.7	-1.1	-0.8	-0.8
South 1, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000	93%	5%	2%	0%	-2.4	+6.3	-2.8	-1.1
South 2	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka	93%	6%	1%	0%	-1.6	+7.0	+1.4	-6.7
South 2, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,000	89%	10%	1%	0%	+3.6	-4.8	-0.7	+1.9
South 3	Maruyama Kanako ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya	97%	2%	1%	0%	+6.0	+1.4	-9.0	+1.6
South 4	Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000	99%	0%	0%	0%	-3.9	-5.4	-17.7	+27.0
South 4, 1 honba	Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya	99%	0%	0%	1%	-0.3	-0.3	-2.7	+3.4
South 4, 2 honba	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Maruyama Kanako	99%	0%	0%	1%	-7.9	+11.1	+0.1	-3.4

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)