Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/10 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+68.6pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kanako Maruyama tsumo 18,000, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -1.1 | +23.0 | -0.3 | -21.6 |
| East 2 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 42% | 23% | 12% | +24.9 | -14.3 | -6.2 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Kanako Maruyama | 42% | 28% | 18% | 12% | -14.7 | +20.3 | -3.2 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 47% | 15% | 10% | +27.3 | -7.5 | -8.5 | -11.2 |
| South 1 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 18,000 | 53% | 34% | 9% | 4% | +34.9 | -17.2 | -9.8 | -7.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 7% | 2% | 1% | +3.7 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | -2.4 | +6.3 | -2.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 92% | 6% | 2% | 1% | -0.9 | +5.9 | +0.7 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,000 | 91% | 8% | 1% | 0% | +3.0 | -3.3 | -1.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Kanako Maruyama ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 97% | 2% | 1% | 0% | +6.2 | +1.0 | -7.6 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -4.2 | -5.8 | -18.6 | +28.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,500 from Takaya Matsugase | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0.0 | +0.2 | -2.1 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kanako Maruyama | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -8.2 | +10.9 | -0.1 | -2.7 |