Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

2/10 Game 2

Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+89.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +42.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance	Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance	Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change	Rio Tojyo Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change	Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change
East 1	Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,700	25%	23%	26%	26%	-3.6	+10.6	-4.8	-2.3
East 2	Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000	22%	32%	23%	24%	-16.7	+42.3	-12.5	-13.2
East 2, 1 honba	Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,000	8%	68%	12%	12%	-3.2	+12.4	-4.6	-4.6
East 2, 2 honba	Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000	5%	80%	7%	8%	-1.4	-4.0	+11.4	-5.9
East 3	Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000	5%	79%	10%	6%	-4.6	+19.7	-13.8	-1.4
East 4	Rumi Nikaido tsumo 7,800	2%	95%	1%	3%	-6.6	-3.4	-6.6	+16.6
East 4, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	1%	92%	1%	5%	-0.6	-2.0	-2.2	+4.9
East 4, 2 honba	Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi	1%	90%	1%	7%	-11.0	+10.8	+2.4	-2.1
South 1	Rumi Nikaido tsumo 3,200	0%	97%	1%	2%	-6.6	-0.2	-1.2	+8.0
South 2	Exhaustive draw	0%	98%	1%	2%	+0.5	+2.3	-1.1	-1.7
South 2, 1 honba	Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki	0%	98%	0%	1%	+1.6	-0.5	-3.1	+2.0
South 3	Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Takaharu Ooi	0%	99%	0%	1%	-2.8	0.0	+3.0	-0.2
South 3, 1 honba	Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi	0%	99%	0%	1%	-13.4	-0.1	+0.9	+12.6
South 4	Rumi Nikaido ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki	0%	98%	0%	2%	+0.5	-0.2	-3.7	+3.5
South 4, 1 honba	Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000	0%	98%	0%	2%	-1.4	+3.7	+0.9	-3.2