Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

2/10 Game 2

Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+89.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +43.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance	Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance	Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change	Tojyo Rio Expected pt change	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change	Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change
East 1	Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,700	27%	24%	24%	25%	-9.0	+8.2	+0.6	+0.2
East 2	Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000	20%	30%	24%	26%	-13.6	+43.5	-12.9	-17.0
East 2, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio tsumo 6,000	9%	68%	11%	12%	-4.0	+12.2	-6.4	-1.8
East 2, 2 honba	Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000	5%	80%	7%	8%	-1.1	-4.2	+10.1	-4.8
East 3	Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000	5%	78%	10%	7%	-4.4	+20.1	-12.2	-3.4
East 4	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 7,800	1%	94%	2%	3%	-6.3	-3.4	-6.6	+16.3
East 4, 1 honba	Draw	1%	93%	1%	4%	-1.5	-1.9	-1.6	+5.0
East 4, 2 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu	2%	90%	2%	6%	-10.9	+10.3	+2.4	-1.8
South 1	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 3,200	1%	96%	1%	2%	-5.8	-0.1	-0.9	+6.9
South 2	Draw	0%	98%	0%	2%	-0.9	+2.3	-0.7	-0.6
South 2, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro	0%	97%	1%	2%	+2.9	-0.6	-3.5	+1.1
South 3	Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu	0%	98%	0%	1%	-3.3	+0.5	+2.7	+0.2
South 3, 1 honba	Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu	0%	99%	0%	1%	-13.1	0.0	+0.1	+13.0
South 4	Nikaido Rumi ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro	0%	98%	0%	2%	+0.3	-0.1	-3.4	+3.1
South 4, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,000	0%	98%	0%	2%	-1.4	+3.4	+0.8	-2.8