Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/13 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 9,600 from Arisa Date, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -12.3 | -5.5 | +22.1 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 20% | 41% | 22% | -4.2 | -11.8 | -5.9 | +21.9 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 13% | 36% | 37% | -8.5 | -7.7 | -20.4 | +36.6 |
| East 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 7% | 13% | 75% | -1.8 | +6.5 | -1.8 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 8% | 12% | 75% | -6.3 | -3.4 | +9.2 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 7% | 14% | 77% | -2.6 | +6.0 | -2.8 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 2% | 8% | 14% | 76% | +26.1 | -28.5 | -0.4 | +2.8 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 9,600 from Arisa Date | 5% | 0% | 12% | 83% | -1.7 | -1.5 | +36.5 | -33.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 1% | 57% | 33% | -4.0 | -1.8 | -0.5 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 1,300 from Masato Hagiwara | 5% | 0% | 59% | 36% | +0.2 | -3.9 | +18.1 | -14.4 |