Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/13 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 9,600 from Date Arisa, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +34.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -12.4 | -5.3 | +21.7 | -4.1 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 20% | 42% | 21% | -5.1 | -12.3 | -6.6 | +24.0 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 13% | 36% | 38% | -6.7 | -6.3 | -21.6 | +34.6 |
| East 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 7% | 7% | 12% | 74% | -3.0 | +5.0 | 0.0 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 6% | 7% | 12% | 76% | -6.8 | -3.3 | +10.6 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 5% | 17% | 76% | -2.6 | +6.0 | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 7% | 15% | 76% | +27.4 | -27.8 | -3.0 | +3.4 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 9,600 from Date Arisa | 5% | 0% | 11% | 83% | -1.1 | -1.3 | +34.5 | -32.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 1% | 53% | 36% | -5.3 | -2.1 | +3.3 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Hagiwara Masato | 5% | 0% | 61% | 35% | -0.1 | -3.8 | +17.3 | -13.5 |