Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +69.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -9.6 | +1.2 | +2.0 | +6.3 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 26% | 26% | 31% | +24.8 | -12.5 | -6.8 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 3,000 | 37% | 16% | 21% | 26% | -3.3 | -2.5 | +9.4 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 33% | 16% | 27% | 25% | -22.3 | -0.3 | -3.3 | +25.9 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 18% | 14% | 24% | 45% | +15.2 | -0.6 | +1.7 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 9,600 | 30% | 15% | 26% | 30% | +30.3 | -9.3 | -9.7 | -11.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 58% | 9% | 16% | 17% | -12.1 | -1.7 | +12.9 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 45% | 9% | 25% | 21% | -1.6 | +5.6 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 44% | 11% | 24% | 21% | +3.4 | -17.7 | -2.7 | +17.0 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000 | 48% | 3% | 19% | 30% | -15.4 | +69.6 | -36.4 | -17.8 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 57% | 3% | 17% | -5.2 | +28.5 | -7.9 | -15.4 |