Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+58.6pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +71.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 22% | 26% | 26% | -8.1 | +3.6 | -1.5 | +6.0 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 25% | 26% | 30% | +22.9 | -13.6 | -5.5 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 3,000 | 36% | 16% | 21% | 27% | -0.4 | -2.2 | +6.2 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 36% | 15% | 24% | 26% | -25.1 | -0.7 | -0.6 | +26.5 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 18% | 14% | 21% | 47% | +13.5 | +0.7 | +2.8 | -17.0 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 9,600 | 27% | 15% | 27% | 31% | +31.6 | -8.2 | -10.6 | -12.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 57% | 10% | 16% | 18% | -10.2 | -3.9 | +12.5 | +1.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 47% | 9% | 24% | 20% | -3.0 | +6.4 | -3.3 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 43% | 12% | 23% | 21% | +3.5 | -19.2 | -0.6 | +16.2 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000 | 46% | 2% | 21% | 30% | -14.7 | +71.2 | -37.1 | -19.4 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 60% | 2% | 15% | -5.6 | +27.6 | -8.1 | -14.0 |