Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/14 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+61.1pt). The game was decided in South 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +39.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -21.8 | -3.9 | -1.8 | +27.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 21% | 21% | 47% | -1.2 | -2.9 | +5.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 18% | 25% | 47% | -9.8 | -14.0 | +36.3 | -12.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,500 | 6% | 9% | 56% | 28% | -2.5 | +1.5 | +5.1 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 9% | 62% | 25% | +11.1 | -5.6 | -5.2 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 8% | 7% | 58% | 26% | +4.6 | -3.1 | -3.9 | +2.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,300 from Nakabayashi Kei | 10% | 7% | 53% | 29% | +5.5 | -5.5 | +3.8 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 7,700 from Nakabayashi Kei | 11% | 6% | 60% | 23% | +21.4 | -15.6 | -3.3 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 2% | 53% | 22% | -5.5 | -1.7 | +1.2 | +6.0 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 16% | 3% | 56% | 26% | -1.2 | -7.6 | +2.4 | +6.4 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 0% | 59% | 28% | -9.8 | -1.6 | -27.8 | +39.2 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 0% | 8% | 88% | +23.0 | +0.2 | -26.9 | +3.7 |