Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +38.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.1 | -2.1 | +5.9 | +1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 22% | 22% | 30% | 26% | -0.3 | -6.7 | +6.0 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 19% | 34% | 26% | -0.9 | -2.8 | +4.8 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 16% | 37% | 26% | +27.1 | -5.6 | -13.8 | -7.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 43% | 13% | 25% | 20% | -7.9 | -3.1 | -7.3 | +18.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 6,000 | 34% | 12% | 21% | 34% | -5.1 | -7.8 | -3.5 | +16.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 27% | 8% | 17% | 48% | +29.4 | -0.3 | -2.9 | -26.2 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 7,800 | 59% | 6% | 14% | 21% | +17.6 | -4.2 | -7.2 | -6.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 78% | 3% | 7% | 12% | +3.5 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 32,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 82% | 4% | 6% | 9% | -87.7 | -0.8 | +86.6 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 92% | 6% | -11.6 | +30.3 | -5.5 | -13.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 8% | 87% | 4% | +3.3 | +0.8 | -1.6 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 8% | 86% | 5% | -9.1 | +36.5 | -16.6 | -10.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 38% | 58% | 3% | +26.4 | -15.8 | +1.1 | -11.7 |
| South 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 1,100 | 3% | 24% | 69% | 4% | -2.6 | +2.5 | +1.6 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 22% | 76% | 2% | +1.8 | +38.8 | -29.0 | -11.7 |