Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/14 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+58.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -7.2 | -1.2 | +2.7 | +5.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 20% | 24% | 25% | 31% | +0.1 | -7.9 | +10.2 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 17% | 33% | 29% | -1.4 | -2.4 | +6.9 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 16% | 39% | 27% | +28.8 | -6.9 | -14.6 | -7.2 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 42% | 12% | 25% | 22% | -5.8 | -3.0 | -7.8 | +16.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 6,000 | 36% | 11% | 19% | 33% | -8.9 | -5.6 | -3.3 | +17.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 9% | 18% | 47% | +30.4 | -1.1 | -3.8 | -25.5 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 7,800 | 58% | 7% | 13% | 22% | +18.8 | -4.5 | -6.1 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 4% | 7% | 11% | +3.7 | -0.9 | -0.9 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 32,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 82% | 4% | 5% | 9% | -86.9 | -0.9 | +87.3 | +0.5 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 93% | 4% | -13.2 | +30.9 | -6.4 | -11.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 88% | 5% | +1.1 | +3.7 | -1.8 | -3.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 9% | 86% | 5% | -8.3 | +34.2 | -16.2 | -9.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 39% | 58% | 3% | +27.8 | -16.5 | +0.8 | -12.1 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 24% | 69% | 3% | -2.2 | +2.2 | +2.2 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 20% | 76% | 3% | +1.4 | +39.6 | -29.4 | -11.6 |