Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/16 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+95.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -12.6 | +9.0 | +0.8 | +2.8 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 31% | 25% | 28% | -8.5 | +30.3 | -11.0 | -10.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 10% | 58% | 15% | 17% | -8.9 | +0.7 | -0.3 | +8.5 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 58% | 15% | 20% | -3.1 | +15.2 | -2.3 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 4% | 76% | 8% | 11% | -7.0 | +6.7 | +2.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 84% | 7% | 6% | +0.1 | -0.8 | +4.1 | -3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Honda Tomohiro | 3% | 83% | 8% | 6% | -3.0 | +10.0 | -9.8 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 94% | 2% | 3% | +3.0 | -0.2 | -6.3 | +3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 93% | 3% | 4% | -8.5 | +22.6 | -7.1 | -7.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -19.6 | +13.3 | +3.7 | +2.6 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +31.1 | -1.7 | -32.1 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -19.8 | -5.7 | +45.9 | -20.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.2 | +0.3 | -25.7 | +26.6 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,800 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.0 | -1.7 | -2.7 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +25.6 | -2.5 | -18.0 | -5.1 |