Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/17 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+70.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +3.6 | -4.2 | +3.2 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 3,900 | 29% | 23% | 26% | 22% | +12.3 | -4.1 | -5.4 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 38% | 19% | 23% | 19% | -2.5 | -21.5 | +23.1 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 33% | 10% | 38% | 19% | -3.8 | -8.0 | +15.1 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 28% | 5% | 51% | 16% | -3.9 | -19.9 | +25.0 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,700 | 15% | 1% | 75% | 9% | +8.8 | -0.8 | -7.0 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 22% | 1% | 68% | 9% | -4.3 | +0.6 | +8.9 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 1% | 80% | 5% | -8.0 | +7.2 | +4.3 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 1% | 90% | 3% | -5.7 | -9.6 | -1.5 | +16.7 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 0% | 92% | 6% | +2.3 | +0.5 | +7.8 | -10.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | 0.0 | -1.1 | -2.6 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +3.1 | +8.1 | -0.2 | -11.0 |