Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +4.5 | -3.6 | +2.1 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 23% | 25% | 24% | +3.3 | +2.0 | -1.3 | -3.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,000 from Rio Tojyo | 32% | 24% | 24% | 20% | -1.0 | +7.4 | -4.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 30% | 22% | 20% | -4.6 | -13.2 | +20.5 | -2.7 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 20% | 35% | 19% | -12.3 | -9.8 | +33.4 | -11.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,900 | 14% | 11% | 66% | 10% | -2.8 | -1.9 | +8.9 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,500 | 10% | 8% | 75% | 7% | -1.0 | -3.0 | +6.4 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 5% | 81% | 5% | -6.6 | +22.8 | -10.5 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 7% | 15% | 73% | 6% | +17.8 | -1.7 | +1.1 | -17.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 13% | 74% | 2% | +2.2 | -4.9 | +2.5 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 10% | 76% | 1% | -11.9 | +15.9 | -0.3 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 5% | 16% | 77% | 1% | -0.8 | -6.3 | +6.7 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 6% | 90% | 1% | -1.7 | -1.5 | +3.5 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 4% | 93% | 1% | +2.9 | -2.1 | +1.2 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -6.5 | -6.5 | -5.0 | +18.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | +4.9 | -4.9 | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 95% | 3% | +17.6 | -8.1 | +1.5 | -11.1 |