Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/17 Game 2
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +31.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 22% | 25% | 28% | +3.4 | -1.1 | +4.9 | -7.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 23% | 27% | 23% | +4.8 | +2.6 | -5.1 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 31% | 24% | 24% | 21% | -1.9 | +9.0 | -5.0 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 31% | 20% | 20% | -6.3 | -13.7 | +22.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 20% | 36% | 18% | -10.4 | -9.1 | +31.5 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,900 | 14% | 10% | 66% | 10% | -3.4 | -3.2 | +10.2 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 8% | 76% | 7% | -1.7 | -2.3 | +4.1 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 6% | 81% | 6% | -4.9 | +22.8 | -9.5 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 15% | 72% | 5% | +18.0 | -0.6 | +1.3 | -18.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 13% | 73% | 1% | +1.1 | -8.5 | +4.8 | +2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 9% | 78% | 2% | -13.6 | +18.0 | -1.3 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 17% | 79% | 1% | +0.4 | -4.6 | +5.9 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 7% | 90% | 1% | -0.3 | -3.3 | +3.3 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 5% | 93% | 1% | +3.1 | -2.4 | +1.2 | -1.8 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -7.1 | -6.7 | -4.6 | +18.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 97% | 3% | +4.7 | -3.9 | -1.7 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | +18.2 | -8.8 | +1.5 | -10.9 |