Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 1,100 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.3 | -4.9 | +1.0 | +8.3 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 23% | 22% | 25% | 30% | +0.3 | +32.5 | -29.0 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 46% | 10% | 25% | -4.8 | -9.3 | +21.0 | -6.9 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 18% | 40% | 19% | 23% | +22.5 | +0.6 | -22.9 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 38% | 8% | 22% | -1.8 | +5.9 | +3.9 | -8.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 31% | 45% | 9% | 15% | -19.5 | +21.4 | -2.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 73% | 6% | 11% | -3.9 | +0.3 | +5.4 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 76% | 8% | 10% | -9.6 | +0.3 | -18.2 | +27.5 |
| South 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 2% | 80% | 0% | 19% | -25.0 | +9.0 | +21.7 | -5.7 |