Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in East 2: Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 1,100 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.0 | -3.6 | +0.9 | +6.7 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 22% | 22% | 25% | 31% | -0.7 | +33.6 | -29.6 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 47% | 9% | 25% | -3.9 | -10.7 | +20.6 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 19% | 38% | 20% | 23% | +22.4 | +2.5 | -23.2 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 39% | 7% | 21% | -0.9 | +3.6 | +3.6 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 32% | 43% | 9% | 15% | -21.3 | +22.9 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 9% | 73% | 6% | 12% | -3.5 | -0.2 | +5.8 | -2.1 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 77% | 8% | 10% | -9.9 | +0.5 | -18.2 | +27.7 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 80% | 0% | 19% | -23.9 | +9.0 | +21.5 | -6.5 |