Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/21 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+72.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -8.5 | +11.5 | -3.1 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 19% | 32% | 23% | 25% | -3.2 | +10.1 | -4.4 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 42% | 20% | 22% | +34.4 | -18.3 | -8.0 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 42% | 24% | 16% | 19% | +3.0 | -3.1 | -3.1 | +3.1 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 47% | 22% | 12% | 19% | -9.0 | +32.6 | -7.1 | -16.5 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 33% | 50% | 8% | 9% | -4.2 | +2.8 | +21.2 | -19.9 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 54% | 16% | 4% | +3.6 | -30.3 | +29.5 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 33% | 21% | 43% | 3% | -21.2 | -16.0 | +44.3 | -7.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 1% | 1% | 97% | 1% | -20.4 | +6.7 | -0.6 | +14.3 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,600 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +0.8 | +7.5 | +3.1 | -11.4 |