Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/21 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 23% | 23% | 25% | -9.2 | +14.1 | -3.1 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 34% | 22% | 24% | -3.6 | +8.1 | -2.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | +6.6 | -1.6 | -3.1 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 22% | 38% | 19% | 21% | -1.9 | -4.8 | +3.1 | +3.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 21% | 34% | 21% | 24% | +13.2 | +1.4 | -13.7 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 30% | 36% | 12% | 23% | -2.1 | +5.2 | -6.3 | +3.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 40% | 9% | 24% | -3.0 | -1.3 | +7.5 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 39% | 13% | 21% | +46.8 | -17.5 | -13.6 | -15.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 72% | 16% | 5% | 8% | +4.1 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 76% | 13% | 4% | 6% | -12.1 | -1.1 | +16.8 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 67% | 16% | 10% | 7% | -3.8 | +10.6 | -0.8 | -6.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 24% | 10% | 6% | +2.9 | -14.5 | -13.2 | +24.8 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 68% | 11% | 7% | 14% | -29.6 | -3.6 | -8.9 | +42.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 11% | 2% | 62% | +41.4 | -7.3 | -9.5 | -24.6 |