Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

2/21 Game 2

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +45.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance	Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Yu Suzuki Expected pt change	Mari Takamiya Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change
East 1	Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000	26%	23%	26%	25%	-7.0	+14.8	-6.6	-1.2
East 2	Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000	21%	35%	21%	23%	-1.9	+6.7	-1.6	-3.2
East 2, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	19%	39%	19%	23%	+6.2	-0.4	-4.0	-1.7
East 3, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	22%	40%	17%	21%	-4.1	-5.6	+4.9	+4.8
East 3, 3 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya	21%	35%	20%	25%	+15.2	+0.9	-14.9	-1.3
East 4	Exhaustive draw	31%	35%	11%	23%	-3.7	+6.1	-3.2	+0.9
East 4, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	27%	41%	10%	22%	-2.3	-0.3	+6.4	-3.8
South 1, 2 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000	26%	40%	14%	20%	+45.1	-17.3	-13.2	-14.6
South 1, 3 honba	Exhaustive draw	71%	17%	4%	8%	+5.1	-2.2	-1.3	-1.6
South 1, 4 honba	Mari Takamiya ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa	76%	14%	3%	7%	-11.4	-1.7	+17.1	-4.0
South 2	Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki	67%	15%	10%	7%	-1.6	+10.5	-2.3	-6.6
South 2, 1 honba	Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000	64%	23%	8%	5%	0.0	-15.6	-11.9	+27.4
South 3	Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa	68%	10%	6%	15%	-30.2	-2.8	-8.5	+41.5
South 4	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya	23%	10%	2%	65%	+42.3	-7.1	-9.5	-25.7

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)