Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

2/23 Game 1

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+104.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +37.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Sonoda Ken● Kondo Seiichi● Kurosawa Saki● Hori Shingo0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Sonoda● Kondo● Kurosawa● Hori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKondo Seiichi
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Kondo Seiichi
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
East 1Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken25%25%24%26%-3.5-20.0+23.8-0.3
East 2Draw20%13%43%24%-2.1+6.5-2.8-1.6
East 2, 1 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 6,00019%17%41%24%-6.2+16.7-4.6-5.8
East 2, 2 honbaKondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki17%26%36%21%+35.9-2.3-33.50.0
East 3Kondo Seiichi ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken43%23%15%20%+14.2-8.9-5.8+0.4
East 4Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,00058%15%10%18%-9.6+37.4-8.4-19.3
South 1Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo42%45%6%7%+27.9-7.9+1.9-21.9
South 1, 1 honbaDraw72%23%3%2%-0.2+3.0-2.3-0.6
South 2, 2 honbaSonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki73%23%2%1%-8.8+18.8-11.6+1.5
South 2, 3 honbaDraw53%45%1%1%-4.4+5.6-3.4+2.2
South 2, 4 honbaKurosawa Saki tsumo 12,00044%54%1%1%-0.6-12.8+24.9-11.5
South 3Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo54%42%3%1%-12.7+26.0-2.5-10.8
South 4Draw18%81%0%0%-4.6+4.7-2.0+1.9
South 4, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi11%89%0%0%-19.4+3.8-2.6+18.2
South 4, 2 honbaDraw1%99%0%1%-1.6-0.9-1.5+4.0
South 4, 3 honbaSonoda Ken ron 32,000 from Hori Shingo0%98%0%1%+2.6+34.7+3.9-41.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)