Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -15.7 | +2.1 | +12.8 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 24% | 34% | 26% | +24.2 | -15.9 | -2.0 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 31% | 15% | 33% | 22% | +12.5 | -1.8 | -11.4 | +0.8 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 14% | 22% | 22% | -4.3 | +2.8 | -3.3 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 16% | 21% | 25% | -7.0 | -8.4 | +33.4 | -18.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 9% | 49% | 12% | +6.9 | -2.5 | -3.2 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 35% | 8% | 45% | 11% | -8.7 | -0.7 | +10.7 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 24% | 8% | 59% | 9% | +2.4 | +35.8 | -38.7 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 30% | 23% | 14% | -12.9 | -17.2 | +38.0 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 12% | 62% | 9% | -4.6 | -4.3 | +5.4 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 9% | 69% | 9% | -2.9 | +3.2 | +2.8 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 10% | 72% | 7% | +2.2 | +6.2 | -4.2 | -4.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Jun Murakami | 14% | 12% | 65% | 9% | +15.4 | -13.4 | +12.0 | -14.0 |