Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 23% | 24% | 27% | 25% | -12.9 | -0.6 | +12.2 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 24% | 34% | 26% | +26.4 | -16.6 | -4.5 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 33% | 14% | 31% | 22% | +11.0 | -3.1 | -6.3 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 43% | 12% | 25% | 20% | -3.0 | +5.1 | -6.2 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 16% | 21% | 24% | -8.8 | -6.8 | +30.8 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 29% | 11% | 46% | 13% | +8.9 | -4.1 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 37% | 9% | 42% | 11% | -11.2 | -2.5 | +13.5 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 23% | 7% | 60% | 10% | +2.7 | +40.4 | -41.5 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 33% | 22% | 13% | -10.9 | -18.8 | +38.4 | -8.6 |
| South 3 | Draw | 18% | 14% | 60% | 8% | -5.2 | -6.7 | +6.7 | +5.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 8% | 70% | 9% | -2.1 | +4.9 | +1.2 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 11% | 69% | 7% | +2.4 | +4.6 | -3.9 | -3.1 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Murakami Jun | 14% | 12% | 65% | 9% | +13.8 | -12.4 | +12.5 | -13.9 |