Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/24 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Aiko Hinata tsumo 18,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +40.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 28% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -4.1 | -18.3 | +22.4 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 14% | 41% | 24% | -6.5 | +19.9 | -6.9 | -6.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 19% | 25% | 34% | 22% | +26.0 | -3.0 | -22.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 38% | 22% | 19% | 21% | +30.4 | +0.4 | -30.8 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 12,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 67% | 14% | 4% | 14% | -3.6 | -30.4 | +2.7 | +31.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 4% | 3% | 34% | +2.1 | +1.7 | -6.7 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 18,000 | 59% | 4% | 3% | 35% | -22.8 | -9.7 | -7.6 | +40.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 1% | 1% | 80% | +19.5 | -5.3 | -1.5 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 39% | 1% | 1% | 60% | -2.3 | +1.6 | -2.5 | +3.2 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 35% | 1% | 0% | 64% | +7.6 | -3.1 | +7.1 | -11.7 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 51% | 0% | 1% | 48% | -18.3 | +10.3 | -6.2 | +14.2 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 18% | 0% | 0% | 82% | -3.4 | +4.8 | -7.4 | +6.1 |