Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -7.2 | -1.2 | +10.9 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 22% | 34% | 24% | -1.6 | -5.8 | +10.7 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 19% | 43% | 21% | -11.3 | -11.6 | +31.9 | -8.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 8% | 74% | 11% | +15.4 | -1.7 | -13.0 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 9% | 62% | 14% | -10.2 | -10.0 | -11.5 | +31.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 12% | 7% | 47% | 34% | -15.1 | +1.2 | +17.6 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 5% | 67% | 24% | +30.8 | -10.0 | -9.0 | -11.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 17% | 5% | 59% | 19% | -1.9 | -7.1 | +10.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 2% | 73% | 14% | +2.2 | -5.2 | +0.3 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Taro Suzuki | 10% | 0% | 74% | 15% | -2.4 | -4.5 | +9.4 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 4% | 0% | 85% | 10% | -27.4 | +1.5 | -3.0 | +28.9 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 79% | 21% | +1.8 | -2.3 | +12.0 | -11.5 |