Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +31.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -7.8 | -4.5 | +13.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 22% | 34% | 26% | -0.5 | -5.3 | +10.1 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 18% | 43% | 22% | -9.8 | -10.3 | +31.7 | -11.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 8% | 7% | 75% | 9% | +13.6 | -2.7 | -13.0 | +2.1 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 9% | 62% | 14% | -9.8 | -11.4 | -11.7 | +32.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 12% | 6% | 48% | 35% | -14.7 | +1.6 | +17.5 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 5% | 67% | 24% | +31.3 | -8.8 | -9.4 | -13.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 19% | 5% | 58% | 18% | -2.7 | -6.1 | +10.5 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 2% | 73% | 14% | +3.7 | -6.1 | +0.4 | +2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Suzuki Taro | 12% | 0% | 74% | 14% | -4.3 | -5.2 | +11.0 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 4% | 0% | 88% | 8% | -27.2 | +1.8 | -4.8 | +30.2 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 22% | +1.8 | -2.1 | +12.4 | -12.1 |