Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +37.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +1.9 | +1.4 | +1.9 | -5.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 28% | 25% | 25% | 22% | -6.7 | 0.0 | +13.9 | -7.2 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 25% | 35% | 18% | +1.4 | -2.2 | +2.2 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 23% | 37% | 17% | -4.9 | +27.6 | -16.1 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 46% | 23% | 13% | -8.3 | -8.2 | -6.9 | +23.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 15% | 39% | 19% | 26% | +0.9 | +17.5 | -3.8 | -14.7 |
| South 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,500 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 57% | 16% | 14% | +3.0 | +0.5 | -4.5 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,300 from Arisa Date | 15% | 58% | 13% | 14% | -2.6 | -1.5 | -0.7 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 58% | 13% | 18% | -3.4 | -0.2 | -4.6 | +8.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 59% | 11% | 21% | +37.6 | -4.7 | -20.6 | -12.4 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 35% | 51% | 1% | 13% | +29.1 | -45.8 | +44.0 | -27.3 |