Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/28 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+49.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +2.3 | +1.7 | +1.5 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 27% | 26% | 26% | 21% | -5.4 | -3.5 | +14.5 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 23% | 23% | 36% | 18% | +0.9 | -1.2 | +3.8 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 21% | 40% | 16% | -7.1 | +27.6 | -17.1 | -3.5 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 17% | 44% | 24% | 15% | -4.9 | -8.0 | -7.8 | +20.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 16% | 36% | 19% | 28% | -0.6 | +17.5 | -1.1 | -15.9 |
| South 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 14% | 55% | 18% | 14% | +4.4 | +1.4 | -6.4 | +0.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,300 from Date Arisa | 16% | 56% | 14% | 14% | -4.5 | -0.4 | -1.4 | +6.3 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 58% | 13% | 18% | -1.8 | -1.6 | -4.2 | +7.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 57% | 12% | 21% | +36.4 | -3.4 | -21.2 | -11.8 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 35% | 52% | 1% | 12% | +29.0 | -45.9 | +44.1 | -27.2 |