Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 16,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +73.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +19.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -18.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 23% | 23% | 15% | +9.0 | -1.0 | -6.3 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 22% | 18% | 13% | -11.2 | +21.1 | -3.4 | -6.6 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 35% | 37% | 17% | 10% | +8.5 | -1.2 | -6.2 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 43% | 34% | 14% | 10% | +2.5 | -7.3 | +2.4 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 46% | 27% | 16% | 11% | -25.3 | +32.0 | -7.2 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 62% | 9% | 10% | +4.7 | +1.8 | +0.6 | -7.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 22% | 65% | 8% | 5% | +5.2 | -3.5 | -3.0 | +1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 60% | 8% | 6% | -4.2 | +0.6 | -2.9 | +6.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 23% | 62% | 7% | 8% | -6.1 | +3.1 | -6.9 | +9.9 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 14% | 72% | 5% | 8% | -7.0 | +4.2 | -19.6 | +22.4 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 80% | 0% | 13% | -8.3 | -3.7 | -0.9 | +13.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 16,000 | 3% | 73% | 0% | 24% | +73.9 | -32.1 | -4.1 | -37.6 |