Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/28 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 16,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +73.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 7,700 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +19.9 | +0.6 | -1.0 | -19.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 24% | 24% | 14% | +9.9 | -4.9 | -3.2 | -1.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 48% | 20% | 20% | 12% | -13.7 | +24.3 | -6.2 | -4.5 |
| East 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 35% | 38% | 16% | 11% | +9.8 | -3.5 | -4.5 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 33% | 15% | 9% | +1.8 | -6.3 | +2.4 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 47% | 27% | 16% | 10% | -23.5 | +34.3 | -9.0 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 65% | 9% | 8% | +2.7 | +1.7 | +0.7 | -5.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 67% | 8% | 5% | +6.8 | -5.3 | -3.5 | +2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 59% | 8% | 6% | -3.1 | +1.7 | -4.4 | +5.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 23% | 63% | 6% | 7% | -8.4 | +2.3 | -3.6 | +9.7 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 13% | 72% | 6% | 9% | -6.4 | +4.4 | -20.8 | +22.8 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 80% | 0% | 14% | -7.9 | -3.7 | -1.1 | +12.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 16,000 | 3% | 73% | 0% | 23% | +73.4 | -32.2 | -3.7 | -37.5 |