Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/2 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+49.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +48.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +0.2 | +4.8 | -2.9 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 27% | 23% | 23% | -7.3 | -4.6 | -4.8 | +16.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 20% | 35% | +3.1 | +2.4 | -6.9 | +1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 26% | 16% | 36% | -4.5 | +6.1 | -3.5 | +1.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kanako Maruyama ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 19% | 29% | 14% | 38% | -0.9 | -5.6 | +16.5 | -10.1 |
| East 3 | Kanako Maruyama ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 20% | 26% | 24% | 30% | +0.5 | +1.0 | +9.7 | -11.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 26% | 31% | 23% | -5.1 | -3.8 | -14.9 | +23.8 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 17% | 24% | 19% | 41% | -3.5 | -1.6 | +31.1 | -26.0 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Kanako Maruyama | 15% | 21% | 45% | 20% | -3.5 | +0.6 | -12.4 | +15.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 23% | 33% | 32% | +1.2 | -13.9 | +8.2 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 14% | 40% | 34% | +18.4 | -11.2 | -3.1 | -4.1 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 24% | 10% | 39% | 27% | +48.6 | -16.6 | -9.3 | -22.7 |