Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/2 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+49.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +48.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -0.7 | +7.3 | -6.0 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 28% | 22% | 24% | -7.9 | -5.8 | -2.8 | +16.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 25% | 21% | 36% | +2.1 | +6.5 | -8.1 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 28% | 16% | 35% | -1.5 | +3.2 | -2.6 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Maruyama Kanako ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 20% | 31% | 15% | 35% | +0.4 | -6.8 | +13.5 | -7.2 |
| East 3 | Maruyama Kanako ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 22% | 27% | 21% | 30% | -1.5 | +0.6 | +13.1 | -12.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 27% | 31% | 23% | -5.9 | -3.9 | -16.2 | +26.1 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 17% | 24% | 19% | 41% | -3.1 | -2.3 | +32.6 | -27.2 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 13% | 21% | 47% | 19% | -3.4 | +0.2 | -11.5 | +14.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 12% | 22% | 35% | 31% | +2.5 | -13.7 | +5.3 | +5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 13% | 39% | 34% | +16.9 | -10.6 | -1.2 | -5.1 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 23% | 10% | 40% | 27% | +48.7 | -16.4 | -10.1 | -22.3 |