Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takamiya Mari tsumo 32,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +80.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.3 | -0.2 | +3.4 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 23% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -1.2 | -22.7 | +0.5 | +23.4 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 12% | 25% | 44% | +14.7 | -4.8 | -5.6 | -4.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 31% | 9% | 20% | 40% | -3.4 | -2.5 | +8.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 8% | 27% | 37% | -7.5 | +8.7 | -2.0 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 22% | 13% | 25% | 40% | -18.7 | -5.4 | +0.5 | +23.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 7% | 4% | 18% | 70% | +2.8 | -0.9 | -6.0 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 32,000 | 8% | 4% | 9% | 79% | -10.2 | -21.0 | +80.2 | -49.0 |