Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/2 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Mari Takamiya tsumo 32,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +81.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 27% | 26% | 25% | 23% | -5.5 | 0.0 | +3.0 | +2.5 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 21% | 26% | 27% | 26% | +1.4 | -24.4 | +1.1 | +22.0 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 11% | 26% | 43% | +10.8 | -3.9 | -5.7 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 9% | 20% | 42% | -1.5 | -2.8 | +7.5 | -3.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 9% | 26% | 38% | -8.7 | +8.2 | -1.9 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 21% | 11% | 25% | 43% | -18.2 | -4.1 | +0.9 | +21.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 5% | 18% | 70% | +3.9 | -0.9 | -7.6 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 32,000 | 7% | 4% | 8% | 80% | -10.5 | -21.5 | +81.4 | -49.5 |