Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 16,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -23.1 | +21.9 | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 41% | 23% | 24% | -1.5 | -3.2 | +4.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 16,000 | 11% | 38% | 27% | 24% | -9.2 | +43.5 | -22.2 | -12.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 3% | 82% | 6% | 9% | -9.2 | +2.3 | +9.4 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 2% | 87% | 6% | 5% | -10.3 | +0.4 | +1.8 | +8.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 88% | 6% | 6% | +8.7 | -1.0 | -2.2 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 92% | 4% | 4% | -6.4 | -10.5 | +29.9 | -13.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 77% | 21% | 3% | +20.5 | +4.4 | -11.6 | -13.3 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 91% | 5% | 3% | +6.9 | +4.1 | +0.9 | -11.9 |