Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/3 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sayaka Okada tsumo 16,000, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% | -22.5 | +21.5 | +0.4 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 42% | 23% | 25% | -2.9 | -3.1 | +7.3 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 39% | 27% | 24% | -7.3 | +42.7 | -23.7 | -11.7 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 3% | 83% | 6% | 8% | -7.2 | +0.1 | +8.7 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,600 from Akina Mizuhara | 3% | 84% | 7% | 6% | -10.7 | +3.1 | +1.3 | +6.3 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 89% | 5% | 5% | +7.4 | -2.3 | -1.7 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 91% | 5% | 4% | -6.5 | -9.9 | +30.7 | -14.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 76% | 21% | 3% | +21.2 | +4.7 | -11.8 | -14.1 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 92% | 5% | 3% | +6.6 | +3.7 | +0.7 | -11.0 |