Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/3 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+81.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 27% | +35.7 | -11.4 | -10.1 | -14.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 15% | 17% | 15% | +24.7 | -7.3 | -8.6 | -8.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 75% | 9% | 9% | 7% | -0.2 | +2.4 | -3.5 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 77% | 8% | 8% | 8% | -4.2 | +39.3 | -2.2 | -32.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 66% | 26% | 6% | 2% | +16.0 | -4.7 | +2.0 | -13.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 81% | 15% | 4% | 1% | +2.4 | -3.6 | +2.8 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,400 from Setokuma Naoki | 84% | 12% | 4% | 0% | +1.8 | -7.6 | +7.7 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 87% | 8% | 4% | 0% | +2.5 | +1.2 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 89% | 8% | 3% | 0% | -0.8 | +15.4 | -2.4 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 85% | 13% | 2% | 0% | -0.5 | -2.6 | +3.5 | -0.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 88% | 10% | 2% | 0% | +3.0 | -5.8 | +3.7 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 96% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 | +13.3 | -13.6 | +0.3 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 95% | 6% | 0% | 0% | +2.1 | -1.5 | +4.6 | -5.2 |