Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/6 Game 1
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+49.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +30.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -11.8 | -1.8 | +10.9 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 25% | 32% | 27% | -1.4 | -3.0 | +0.1 | +4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 22% | 32% | 29% | -3.8 | +3.5 | +0.8 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 15% | 24% | 32% | 30% | +3.0 | -2.2 | +2.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 17% | 23% | 34% | 26% | +20.4 | -1.9 | -7.2 | -11.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 30% | 21% | 27% | 21% | +3.3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,600 from Tojyo Rio | 32% | 20% | 25% | 22% | +14.0 | -1.8 | -7.5 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 46% | 18% | 20% | 16% | +30.6 | -29.9 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 78% | 3% | 10% | 9% | -2.2 | +0.6 | +3.8 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 79% | 3% | 11% | 7% | -1.8 | +4.7 | -1.7 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 76% | 4% | 12% | 8% | -4.3 | +21.9 | -10.7 | -7.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 73% | 9% | 9% | 8% | -17.2 | +39.8 | -10.0 | -12.6 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Murakami Jun ron 6,400 from Takizawa Kazunori | 46% | 42% | 7% | 5% | +10.5 | -23.2 | -5.2 | +17.9 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 68% | 17% | 6% | 9% | +10.2 | -0.4 | -12.6 | +2.8 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 84% | 7% | 0% | 8% | -1.2 | +2.8 | +24.7 | -26.3 |