Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/6 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+71.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -22.1 | +0.2 | 0.0 | +21.9 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 23% | 24% | 43% | -10.6 | +35.6 | -12.7 | -12.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 7% | 52% | 14% | 28% | -2.6 | -4.5 | -1.4 | +8.4 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 47% | 14% | 34% | -1.2 | +1.3 | -10.2 | +10.1 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 4% | 46% | 7% | 43% | -2.2 | -22.1 | +23.2 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 27% | 19% | 49% | -14.6 | -12.1 | +37.8 | -11.1 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 15% | 54% | 31% | -5.7 | +36.1 | -17.8 | -12.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 49% | 30% | 21% | +0.7 | +4.9 | +5.1 | -10.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 55% | 33% | 12% | -4.5 | -22.0 | +32.2 | -5.8 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 17% | 77% | 6% | -2.4 | -10.0 | +17.8 | -5.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -4.0 | +0.1 | -0.8 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 2% | -2.3 | -9.8 | -4.6 | +16.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | 0.0 | -4.0 | -3.5 | +7.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,300 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 0% | 90% | 9% | -1.8 | -4.1 | +6.6 | -0.7 |