Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+70.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 18,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +44.3 | -16.2 | -13.0 | -15.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 12% | 14% | 14% | -1.4 | +5.3 | -2.6 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 61% | 15% | 13% | 12% | -2.1 | +7.2 | -2.3 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 58% | 18% | 11% | 12% | -2.1 | -9.9 | -3.1 | +15.0 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 6,000 | 57% | 13% | 11% | 19% | -2.9 | -5.8 | +13.1 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 56% | 11% | 16% | 17% | +10.0 | -3.7 | -4.4 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 66% | 9% | 11% | 14% | +17.4 | -2.9 | -3.8 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 86% | 4% | 5% | 5% | -1.3 | +5.7 | -2.7 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 87% | 5% | 4% | 4% | -0.7 | +17.1 | -0.1 | -16.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 86% | 8% | 4% | 2% | +3.4 | -29.6 | -4.3 | +30.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 92% | 0% | 3% | 6% | +0.4 | -18.5 | -1.2 | +19.3 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | -3.9 | +10.8 | -23.6 | +16.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 82% | 0% | 0% | 18% | +9.4 | -15.3 | +14.0 | -8.1 |