Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 23% | 25% | 27% | +28.1 | -25.1 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 11% | 20% | 22% | -12.8 | -5.0 | +22.2 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 35% | 8% | 37% | 20% | -0.8 | -19.4 | +20.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 2% | 55% | 16% | -6.8 | -4.9 | -17.6 | +29.3 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 25% | 2% | 36% | 37% | +10.0 | +0.4 | +0.6 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 6,400 from Tomohiro Honda | 33% | 2% | 37% | 28% | -17.8 | +8.2 | +5.8 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 18% | 3% | 46% | 32% | +39.8 | -19.3 | -11.1 | -9.4 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Sho Shiratori | 58% | 0% | 23% | 18% | +9.8 | +0.2 | -5.2 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 76% | 0% | 10% | 14% | +8.1 | +0.4 | +3.6 | -12.1 |