Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/9 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 2: Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +32.2 | -30.4 | -1.7 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 9% | 20% | 22% | -12.6 | -5.4 | +23.6 | -5.5 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 36% | 7% | 38% | 19% | -1.2 | -15.5 | +17.8 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 2% | 53% | 15% | -9.2 | -6.2 | -16.3 | +31.7 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 23% | 1% | 36% | 40% | +11.6 | 0.0 | +2.7 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 6,400 from Honda Tomohiro | 33% | 1% | 39% | 26% | -17.9 | +8.2 | +3.4 | +6.3 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 2% | 44% | 33% | +39.3 | -18.8 | -9.9 | -10.5 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Shiratori Sho | 59% | 0% | 24% | 17% | +10.6 | +0.3 | -6.0 | -4.9 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 78% | 0% | 10% | 12% | +6.8 | +0.6 | +3.6 | -11.0 |