Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/9 Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+61.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +31.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -9.1 | +13.6 | -3.3 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 34% | 23% | 24% | -7.5 | -17.5 | -6.2 | +31.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 19% | 17% | 50% | +2.1 | +4.5 | -5.8 | -0.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 22% | 14% | 48% | -9.6 | -8.5 | -12.3 | +30.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 10% | 4% | 81% | -5.1 | -6.9 | +16.2 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 6% | 7% | 9% | 79% | -21.7 | -1.0 | +21.9 | +0.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 6% | 14% | 80% | +1.8 | -6.0 | -0.9 | +5.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 1% | 11% | 87% | +10.1 | -6.9 | -2.0 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 4% | 95% | +14.3 | -15.1 | +0.2 | +0.5 |