Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

3/10 Game 1

Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+65.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +24.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance	Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance	Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance	Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance	Sayaka Okada Expected pt change	Aki Nikaido Expected pt change	Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change	Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change
East 1	Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000	26%	24%	24%	26%	-13.8	-3.7	-7.0	+24.5
East 2	Exhaustive draw	15%	21%	20%	44%	-1.1	+5.4	-3.1	-1.2
East 2, 1 honba	Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido	16%	24%	18%	42%	-1.8	-5.5	-3.1	+10.4
East 3	Sayaka Okada tsumo 5,200	13%	18%	15%	53%	+15.2	-3.0	-9.3	-2.8
East 4	Exhaustive draw	22%	17%	11%	50%	+5.1	-3.9	-3.0	+1.8
East 4, 1 honba	Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Sayaka Okada	25%	14%	9%	52%	-21.2	+0.4	+0.2	+20.7
East 4, 2 honba	Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki	9%	9%	7%	74%	+13.1	-0.2	-15.0	+2.1
South 1	Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki	11%	8%	2%	79%	-1.7	0.0	-6.7	+8.5
South 2	Exhaustive draw	5%	5%	1%	88%	-6.3	+4.0	+0.2	+2.1
South 2, 1 honba	Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000	2%	6%	2%	90%	+21.4	-15.3	-4.4	-1.7
South 3	Hisato Sasaki ron 5,800 from Aki Nikaido	8%	0%	1%	91%	+0.5	-12.8	+11.8	+0.4
South 3, 1 honba	Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,900	7%	0%	1%	91%	-2.4	-5.3	+10.1	-2.5
South 3, 2 honba	Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido	7%	0%	3%	89%	+10.5	-12.0	+0.6	+0.9
South 4	Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada	10%	0%	0%	90%	-11.8	+6.4	+2.8	+2.7

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)