Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/10 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -10.4 | +0.9 | +4.1 | +5.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 18% | 26% | 26% | 29% | -0.5 | -3.5 | -8.4 | +12.3 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 22% | 21% | 39% | -5.0 | +15.1 | -8.6 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 32% | 15% | 37% | -7.9 | -7.9 | -5.3 | +21.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 22% | 11% | 57% | +6.4 | -1.1 | -3.7 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 12% | 21% | 10% | 57% | +20.8 | +0.8 | -3.6 | -18.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 26% | 26% | 9% | 39% | -31.7 | +31.8 | +0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 57% | 7% | 32% | +13.7 | -1.3 | -5.7 | -6.7 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 8% | 61% | 7% | 24% | -0.1 | -49.5 | +42.9 | +6.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 15% | 31% | 38% | -1.3 | +0.8 | +13.2 | -12.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 14% | 14% | 46% | 26% | -1.0 | -29.4 | -9.1 | +39.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 5% | 1% | 20% | 74% | -3.5 | -1.3 | -5.3 | +10.0 |