Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/13 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.3 | -21.7 | -1.9 | +22.3 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 13% | 22% | 43% | -4.5 | -9.0 | -2.5 | +16.0 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 7% | 18% | 58% | +13.1 | -2.2 | -9.8 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 7% | 12% | 56% | +23.8 | -4.9 | -6.4 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 47% | 5% | 8% | 40% | -11.9 | -6.9 | +23.2 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 36% | 4% | 22% | 38% | -2.3 | -8.4 | +17.0 | -6.3 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 7,700 from Murakami Jun | 33% | 0% | 35% | 31% | -28.1 | +0.5 | +28.7 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 6% | 0% | 73% | 21% | -2.0 | -0.6 | -36.9 | +39.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 3% | 0% | 11% | 86% | -5.0 | +1.6 | -1.6 | +5.0 |