Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/13 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+75.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +44.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -6.3 | +6.0 | +0.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 29% | 24% | 26% | -6.3 | -16.2 | +35.5 | -13.0 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 14% | 16% | 54% | 17% | -0.5 | +0.1 | +3.7 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,800 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 14% | 14% | 58% | 13% | -14.1 | -0.3 | +13.5 | +0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 12% | 71% | 12% | -0.1 | -3.3 | +5.3 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 7% | 76% | 10% | -4.5 | -1.6 | +2.5 | +3.6 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 7% | 78% | 10% | +13.6 | -3.4 | -2.1 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 7% | 80% | 7% | -0.7 | +19.9 | +1.5 | -20.7 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 12% | 81% | 2% | +28.2 | -11.4 | -9.2 | -7.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Honda | 19% | 9% | 70% | 2% | +17.1 | -14.1 | -3.5 | +0.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 5% | 62% | 1% | -7.0 | -2.6 | +6.7 | +2.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 22% | 4% | 73% | 2% | +44.1 | -3.4 | -39.7 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 88% | 0% | 11% | 2% | +8.9 | +2.9 | -4.3 | -7.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +4.2 | -1.9 | +1.7 | -4.0 |