Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/14 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aiko Hinata ron 18,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +64.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -18.2 | -5.8 | +32.6 | -8.6 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 19% | 50% | 19% | +1.3 | +19.2 | -20.6 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 5,800 from Rumi Nikaido | 14% | 33% | 32% | 21% | -14.5 | +14.4 | +0.3 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 44% | 30% | 19% | -2.8 | +2.7 | -3.9 | +4.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 7% | 47% | 27% | 20% | -6.0 | +8.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 5% | 54% | 24% | 17% | +15.2 | -4.7 | -4.8 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 10% | 52% | 22% | 17% | +19.3 | +2.7 | -0.8 | -21.1 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 55% | 20% | 8% | +13.9 | -0.8 | -3.9 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 24% | 54% | 17% | 4% | -17.6 | +5.2 | +2.1 | +10.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 64% | 18% | 7% | +4.4 | +1.5 | -9.7 | +3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 66% | 13% | 9% | -6.3 | -1.4 | -7.2 | +14.9 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 9% | 68% | 10% | 13% | -2.8 | -1.3 | +26.3 | -22.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 66% | 21% | 6% | -12.1 | +4.6 | -23.5 | +31.0 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 18,000 from Mari Takamiya | 4% | 79% | 4% | 13% | +9.1 | -80.5 | +6.9 | +64.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 1% | 0% | 1% | 98% | -6.1 | -7.6 | +14.1 | -0.3 |