Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

3/14 Game 2

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hinata Aiko ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +63.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance	Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance	Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance	Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance	Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change	Takamiya Mari Expected pt change	Suzuki Yu Expected pt change	Hinata Aiko Expected pt change
East 1	Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000	24%	26%	25%	26%	-14.6	-8.5	+30.9	-7.7
East 2	Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu	14%	19%	50%	17%	-1.5	+18.8	-19.9	+2.6
East 2, 1 honba	Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi	14%	32%	33%	21%	-15.9	+15.6	-0.2	+0.5
East 2, 2 honba	Draw	8%	43%	31%	19%	-1.1	+3.5	-4.8	+2.3
East 2, 3 honba	Takamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Nikaido Rumi	7%	48%	26%	19%	-8.6	+9.4	-1.6	+0.8
East 2, 4 honba	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200	4%	55%	22%	19%	+15.7	-5.8	-2.3	-7.6
East 3	Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko	9%	52%	23%	16%	+18.4	+1.9	-1.2	-19.2
East 4	Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,200	15%	55%	21%	9%	+16.7	-2.6	-5.0	-9.1
South 1	Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi	26%	52%	17%	5%	-18.5	+7.0	+1.5	+10.0
South 2	Draw	11%	64%	17%	8%	+4.3	+2.1	-9.0	+2.6
South 2, 1 honba	Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000	13%	67%	13%	8%	-6.4	-2.2	-8.1	+16.7
South 3	Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko	9%	68%	9%	14%	-0.4	-1.1	+26.0	-24.5
South 3, 1 honba	Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000	9%	66%	20%	5%	-13.9	+3.8	-22.2	+32.3
South 4	Hinata Aiko ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari	4%	78%	4%	14%	+9.2	-80.3	+7.5	+63.6
South 4, 1 honba	Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi	1%	0%	1%	98%	-6.4	-7.0	+13.7	-0.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)