Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

3/14 Game 2

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+62.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hinata Aiko ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +63.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Hinata Aiko● Nikaido Rumi● Takamiya Mari● Suzuki Yu0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hinata● Nikaido● Takamiya● Suzuki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Rumi
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Nikaido Rumi
Expected pt change
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,00024%26%25%26%-14.6-8.5+30.9-7.7
East 2Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu14%19%50%17%-1.5+18.8-19.9+2.6
East 2, 1 honbaTakamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi14%32%33%21%-15.9+15.6-0.2+0.5
East 2, 2 honbaDraw8%43%31%19%-1.1+3.5-4.8+2.3
East 2, 3 honbaTakamiya Mari ron 2,900 from Nikaido Rumi7%48%26%19%-8.6+9.4-1.6+0.8
East 2, 4 honbaNikaido Rumi tsumo 5,2004%55%22%19%+15.7-5.8-2.3-7.6
East 3Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko9%52%23%16%+18.4+1.9-1.2-19.2
East 4Nikaido Rumi tsumo 5,20015%55%21%9%+16.7-2.6-5.0-9.1
South 1Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi26%52%17%5%-18.5+7.0+1.5+10.0
South 2Draw11%64%17%8%+4.3+2.1-9.0+2.6
South 2, 1 honbaHinata Aiko tsumo 4,00013%67%13%8%-6.4-2.2-8.1+16.7
South 3Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko9%68%9%14%-0.4-1.1+26.0-24.5
South 3, 1 honbaHinata Aiko tsumo 8,0009%66%20%5%-13.9+3.8-22.2+32.3
South 4Hinata Aiko ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari4%78%4%14%+9.2-80.3+7.5+63.6
South 4, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi1%0%1%98%-6.4-7.0+13.7-0.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)