Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/16 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +47.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 23% | -9.1 | -2.0 | +13.0 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 23% | 34% | 24% | -8.1 | +31.7 | -14.3 | -9.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 14% | 48% | 22% | 16% | +31.6 | -4.9 | +2.8 | -29.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 31% | 41% | 22% | 6% | -2.2 | -1.8 | -0.2 | +4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Kayamori Sayaka | 31% | 39% | 22% | 7% | -22.6 | -0.5 | +25.8 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki | 14% | 38% | 42% | 5% | -2.9 | +3.3 | -14.7 | +14.3 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 15% | 44% | 30% | 11% | -28.0 | -1.1 | -2.9 | +32.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 43% | 26% | 26% | +28.6 | -4.8 | -3.5 | -20.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 42% | 27% | 16% | +9.8 | -2.0 | -5.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 39% | 24% | 15% | +1.1 | +3.3 | -9.6 | +5.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 23% | 42% | 17% | 18% | +0.4 | -9.7 | +10.6 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 33% | 25% | 18% | -11.3 | -24.4 | +47.1 | -11.4 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 7% | 6% | 78% | 9% | -0.4 | +0.2 | +4.3 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 6% | 5% | 83% | 6% | -36.0 | -3.3 | +0.3 | +39.1 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 1% | 85% | 13% | -4.0 | -1.8 | +8.8 | -3.0 |