Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/17 Game 1
Maruyama Kanako finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000, which moved Maruyama Kanako's expected points by +28.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -10.0 | +12.6 | +0.6 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 35% | 24% | 22% | +0.5 | -0.2 | +9.3 | -9.6 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 32% | 30% | 19% | +12.7 | -2.0 | -8.8 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 32% | 23% | 17% | -8.6 | +28.6 | -4.5 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 18% | 60% | 16% | 6% | -30.2 | +4.2 | -0.7 | +26.7 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 67% | 15% | 16% | +24.8 | -8.9 | -9.8 | -6.2 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 60% | 13% | 14% | -10.5 | -11.4 | +31.0 | -9.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maruyama Kanako tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 44% | 33% | 13% | -8.1 | +22.9 | -9.4 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 79% | 11% | 8% | +9.6 | +8.8 | +1.0 | -19.4 |