Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/17 Game 1
Kanako Maruyama finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000, which moved Kanako Maruyama's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kanako Maruyama 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kanako Maruyama Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -8.9 | +15.8 | -2.8 | -4.1 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 19% | 35% | 23% | 23% | +1.2 | -3.8 | +8.8 | -6.2 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 33% | 28% | 20% | +12.8 | +0.9 | -7.8 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 34% | 22% | 17% | -10.8 | +27.3 | -4.1 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 16% | 61% | 16% | 7% | -29.6 | +3.9 | -0.1 | +25.9 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 67% | 14% | 16% | +26.0 | -8.9 | -10.1 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 60% | 12% | 15% | -10.4 | -10.0 | +31.7 | -11.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kanako Maruyama tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 46% | 32% | 12% | -9.6 | +21.6 | -9.4 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 79% | 10% | 9% | +10.9 | +8.5 | +0.8 | -20.3 |