Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/17 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +19.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +19.1 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -17.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 39% | 24% | 22% | 15% | -1.5 | +6.5 | -6.9 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori | 37% | 28% | 19% | 15% | +14.1 | -9.1 | -0.7 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 21% | 16% | 12% | +19.6 | -4.4 | -12.9 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 73% | 12% | 7% | 9% | +5.4 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 81% | 10% | 6% | 4% | -10.1 | +23.3 | -8.4 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 24% | 5% | 3% | -3.8 | +3.1 | -3.2 | +3.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 28% | 4% | 4% | +9.1 | -4.8 | -2.2 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 76% | 18% | 3% | 3% | -1.2 | +12.4 | -14.1 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 73% | 25% | 0% | 2% | +10.9 | -8.9 | +22.3 | -24.3 |