Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

3/17 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +19.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Shingo Hori● Ken Sonoda● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Shingo● Ken● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa26%26%24%24%+19.1-0.7-0.4-17.9
East 1, 1 honbaShingo Hori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda39%24%22%15%-1.5+6.5-6.9+1.9
East 2Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Shingo Hori37%28%19%15%+14.1-9.1-0.7-4.3
East 3Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00051%21%16%12%+19.6-4.4-12.9-2.3
East 4Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda73%12%7%9%+5.4+0.4-0.7-5.2
South 1Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00081%10%6%4%-10.1+23.3-8.4-4.7
South 2Exhaustive draw68%24%5%3%-3.8+3.1-3.2+3.9
South 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw63%28%4%4%+9.1-4.8-2.2-2.0
South 3, 2 honbaShingo Hori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda76%18%3%3%-1.2+12.4-14.1+3.0
South 4Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa73%25%0%2%+10.9-8.9+22.3-24.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)