Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

3/17 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +22.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Hori Shingo● Sonoda Ken● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Hori● Sonoda● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultOoi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori27%25%23%25%+17.6-1.6+3.1-19.1
East 1, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken39%23%23%14%0.0+9.1-7.1-1.9
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Hori Shingo38%28%21%13%+10.3-9.8-0.3-0.2
East 3Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00049%19%19%13%+22.1-5.4-12.8-3.8
East 4Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken73%11%7%9%+5.1+2.2-3.5-3.8
South 1Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00081%10%5%4%-9.5+22.0-7.1-5.3
South 2Draw69%23%4%4%-2.7+3.4-1.9+1.2
South 2, 1 honbaDraw65%27%4%4%+7.0-4.9-2.3+0.2
South 3, 2 honbaHori Shingo ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken76%18%3%3%-0.7+13.8-15.0+1.9
South 4Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori73%26%0%1%+10.9-9.7+22.1-23.4

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)