Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/20 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +56.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +10.0 | +1.6 | -2.7 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 26% | 23% | 19% | -5.2 | +4.0 | +2.6 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 29% | 24% | 19% | -4.5 | -17.4 | -7.0 | +28.9 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,600 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 16% | 21% | 39% | +5.3 | +0.4 | -8.0 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 16% | 15% | 41% | +37.6 | -8.3 | -8.0 | -21.3 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 67% | 9% | 8% | 17% | -15.7 | -11.2 | +34.2 | -7.3 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 50% | 7% | 27% | 17% | +3.7 | -8.1 | +7.2 | -2.8 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 56% | 2% | 29% | 13% | +4.2 | -5.5 | -6.9 | +8.2 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 65% | 0% | 19% | 16% | -55.0 | +1.5 | -3.4 | +56.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 2% | 0% | 7% | 90% | +0.5 | +0.9 | -7.6 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 1% | 0% | 2% | 97% | -34.5 | +48.6 | -14.3 | +0.2 |