Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/20 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +57.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | +13.9 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -8.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 22% | 22% | 21% | -6.5 | +8.3 | +3.4 | -5.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 29% | 24% | 18% | -5.7 | -18.4 | -6.2 | +30.4 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,600 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 15% | 20% | 40% | +8.6 | +2.2 | -11.9 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 17% | 12% | 41% | +35.0 | -7.7 | -7.2 | -20.0 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 66% | 9% | 7% | 17% | -16.0 | -11.5 | +37.2 | -9.7 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 49% | 7% | 28% | 16% | +4.5 | -8.0 | +6.7 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 56% | 2% | 31% | 11% | +3.9 | -6.8 | -7.1 | +10.0 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 66% | 0% | 19% | 15% | -55.3 | +1.8 | -3.7 | +57.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 3% | 0% | 7% | 90% | +1.1 | +1.1 | -8.3 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 1% | 0% | 2% | 97% | -34.8 | +48.4 | -13.6 | 0.0 |