Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/20 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +8.7 | -4.4 | -2.0 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 32% | 22% | 23% | 24% | -9.3 | +1.4 | +6.7 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -3.7 | -12.0 | -8.8 | +24.6 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 15% | 21% | 43% | -3.4 | -4.3 | -8.9 | +16.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 10% | 13% | 61% | -4.2 | +4.2 | +3.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 6,400 | 15% | 13% | 14% | 58% | -13.1 | +22.3 | -8.0 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 2,100 | 7% | 24% | 11% | 58% | -2.8 | +7.3 | -3.0 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 30% | 9% | 55% | -5.9 | -19.4 | -5.5 | +30.8 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 2% | 3% | 94% | -2.6 | +5.8 | -6.0 | +2.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -9.8 | +2.1 | +9.4 | -1.6 |