Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/20 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +9.0 | -3.1 | -2.4 | -3.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 32% | 23% | 22% | 23% | -7.9 | +1.4 | +6.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -5.6 | -13.3 | -7.6 | +26.5 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 5,200 | 20% | 15% | 19% | 46% | -3.0 | -4.7 | -7.9 | +15.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 16% | 10% | 13% | 62% | -3.5 | +4.4 | +1.9 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 6,400 | 15% | 13% | 13% | 60% | -14.4 | +23.7 | -7.4 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 2,100 | 6% | 25% | 11% | 58% | -3.2 | +6.6 | -0.5 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 30% | 11% | 55% | -4.9 | -19.0 | -8.1 | +32.1 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 3% | 3% | 94% | -2.3 | +5.5 | -5.4 | +2.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -10.4 | +2.2 | +9.4 | -1.1 |