Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +58.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Takaya Matsugase | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -1.7 | -4.8 | -0.6 | +7.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 23% | 24% | 31% | +2.8 | +0.9 | -1.6 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 22% | 23% | 29% | -20.6 | -3.7 | -1.9 | +26.3 |
| East 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 18% | 19% | 51% | -7.1 | -7.3 | +19.3 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 9% | 14% | 32% | 45% | -1.4 | -14.0 | +0.2 | +15.2 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 6% | 28% | 59% | -4.8 | -3.6 | -9.6 | +18.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 3% | 14% | 80% | -4.5 | -3.7 | +21.6 | -13.4 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 3% | 33% | 61% | +25.4 | -9.9 | -8.5 | -7.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 3% | 30% | 57% | -4.1 | -2.3 | +29.8 | -23.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 2% | 69% | 25% | -4.7 | +1.0 | +1.0 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 2% | 69% | 26% | -16.3 | +32.1 | -6.9 | -8.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase | 2% | 10% | 64% | 24% | -2.2 | -8.6 | +3.5 | +7.3 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 71% | 26% | +36.2 | -16.6 | -10.4 | -9.1 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 13% | 1% | 65% | 20% | +58.0 | -5.1 | -51.3 | -1.6 |