Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
3/21 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +59.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Matsugase Takaya | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -2.2 | -7.2 | -0.4 | +9.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 20% | 24% | 32% | +2.2 | +2.1 | -0.6 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 22% | 25% | 30% | -21.2 | -3.5 | -1.5 | +26.3 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800 | 12% | 16% | 21% | 51% | -9.1 | -6.1 | +22.0 | -6.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 8% | 13% | 37% | 42% | -0.9 | -11.9 | -4.0 | +16.8 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 7% | 27% | 60% | -3.5 | -4.7 | -8.2 | +16.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 4% | 16% | 77% | -4.3 | -4.3 | +20.7 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 3% | 33% | 61% | +24.7 | -11.3 | -6.7 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 10% | 2% | 31% | 56% | -3.2 | -0.9 | +26.1 | -22.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 5% | 2% | 66% | 26% | -6.4 | +0.7 | +3.2 | +2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 1% | 69% | 27% | -15.2 | +32.8 | -8.0 | -9.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Matsugase Takaya | 2% | 11% | 63% | 24% | -1.9 | -9.5 | +5.1 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 2% | 73% | 24% | +33.7 | -15.6 | -10.8 | -7.3 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 1% | 67% | 21% | +59.9 | -5.5 | -52.1 | -2.3 |