Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki | 27% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -3.1 | +19.0 | +0.6 | -16.5 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 38% | 24% | 16% | -5.9 | +3.7 | -1.3 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 41% | 24% | 17% | -3.4 | -12.2 | +20.0 | -4.3 |
| East 3 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 29% | 38% | 16% | -6.7 | +35.9 | -18.8 | -10.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 64% | 17% | 8% | -1.7 | -3.7 | -1.4 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,600 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 59% | 18% | 12% | +4.7 | -1.2 | -0.1 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki | 12% | 60% | 19% | 9% | -0.7 | +26.8 | -0.7 | -25.4 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 89% | 7% | 1% | -2.2 | -2.2 | +8.2 | -3.8 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 90% | 8% | 1% | -12.7 | -29.6 | +49.4 | -7.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 31% | 69% | 0% | +3.5 | -3.9 | +2.1 | -1.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 22% | 78% | 0% | -1.9 | +20.8 | -30.1 | +11.2 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 6,400 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 74% | 25% | 1% | +11.5 | +9.9 | -9.1 | -12.3 |