Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+60.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +0.7 | +16.5 | -1.5 | -15.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 36% | 25% | 16% | -3.8 | +5.3 | -5.7 | +4.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 42% | 21% | 17% | -4.3 | -14.4 | +23.7 | -4.9 |
| East 3 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 28% | 38% | 16% | -8.9 | +34.2 | -18.5 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 61% | 18% | 11% | -3.6 | +1.0 | -2.8 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,600 from Uotani Yuumi | 9% | 62% | 17% | 13% | +6.4 | -2.3 | +0.7 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 12% | 62% | 17% | 10% | -1.5 | +26.6 | -0.3 | -24.8 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 91% | 6% | 1% | -2.3 | -2.2 | +8.6 | -4.1 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 90% | 8% | 1% | -11.7 | -30.1 | +49.2 | -7.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 32% | 68% | 0% | +3.2 | -3.1 | +1.7 | -1.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 7,700 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 23% | 76% | 0% | -1.8 | +18.8 | -28.4 | +11.4 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 6,400 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 72% | 27% | 1% | +11.5 | +11.0 | -10.0 | -12.5 |