Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+57.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +22.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -9.2 | -1.8 | -3.0 | +14.0 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 20% | 25% | 23% | 33% | -0.2 | -24.1 | +1.8 | +22.5 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Sayaka Okada | 17% | 10% | 22% | 52% | +0.2 | -1.1 | -6.1 | +7.0 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Sayaka Okada | 16% | 8% | 15% | 61% | -0.5 | +3.3 | -3.4 | +0.7 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 9% | 13% | 64% | -5.0 | -4.6 | +8.5 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 9% | 7% | 17% | 67% | -4.2 | -4.8 | +1.4 | +7.6 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 6% | 2% | 13% | 80% | -29.1 | +34.6 | -11.3 | +5.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 6% | 2% | 91% | -1.7 | +4.4 | -4.0 | +1.3 |