Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/4 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+57.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.1 | -3.9 | -0.7 | +10.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 20% | 23% | 23% | 33% | -0.1 | -22.8 | +0.3 | +22.7 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Okada Sayaka | 17% | 9% | 21% | 54% | -0.8 | +1.3 | -5.7 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 10% | 15% | 60% | +0.6 | +1.8 | -2.8 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 16% | 10% | 13% | 62% | -6.4 | -3.8 | +7.8 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 9% | 8% | 16% | 66% | -3.8 | -4.6 | 0.0 | +8.4 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 5% | 2% | 13% | 80% | -29.1 | +34.0 | -9.9 | +5.0 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 7% | 2% | 91% | -1.5 | +4.2 | -4.2 | +1.5 |