Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/6 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+68.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 1,500 from Nikaido Rumi | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +3.6 | -1.3 | -0.2 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 28% | 24% | 24% | 24% | -1.7 | +9.5 | -9.2 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 25% | 31% | 19% | 25% | -1.5 | +28.2 | -27.4 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 53% | 5% | 22% | -4.7 | +3.4 | +4.5 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 58% | 6% | 20% | +10.8 | -6.6 | -1.9 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 24% | 50% | 6% | 20% | +9.0 | +2.2 | -10.2 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 29% | 52% | 3% | 16% | -1.8 | +18.9 | -13.2 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 72% | 1% | 8% | -4.9 | -17.9 | -0.1 | +22.9 |
| South 2 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 52% | 1% | 26% | -7.4 | -17.5 | -2.2 | +27.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 15% | 27% | 1% | 57% | -7.4 | -7.4 | -10.1 | +24.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 5% | 0% | 93% | -5.1 | +1.8 | +1.1 | +2.2 |