Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +31.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -33.2 | +36.5 | -1.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 7% | 53% | 20% | 20% | -7.7 | -1.0 | +9.8 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 4% | 52% | 26% | 18% | -2.1 | -2.1 | -4.3 | +8.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 49% | 21% | 24% | -1.2 | +9.4 | -2.6 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 61% | 19% | 17% | -8.9 | -4.4 | -5.7 | +19.0 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 1% | 55% | 14% | 30% | -0.9 | -29.1 | -1.2 | +31.1 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 14% | 11% | 75% | -1.0 | +0.2 | +5.7 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 17% | 14% | 69% | +1.2 | +1.0 | -23.3 | +21.0 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -5.3 | -5.4 | -3.3 | +14.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.3 | +6.0 | +0.4 | -1.1 |