Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+79.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +30.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -34.5 | +36.9 | +0.1 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 7% | 54% | 20% | 19% | -8.3 | -0.6 | +8.4 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 53% | 23% | 19% | -4.0 | -0.9 | -3.5 | +8.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 52% | 21% | 23% | +1.3 | +7.1 | -1.9 | -6.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 62% | 18% | 17% | -10.3 | -5.1 | -5.2 | +20.6 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 1% | 54% | 15% | 31% | -0.3 | -27.8 | -2.1 | +30.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 14% | 10% | 75% | -0.6 | -0.4 | +5.4 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 17% | 14% | 69% | +0.3 | +0.3 | -21.5 | +20.9 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | -5.1 | -5.0 | -4.1 | +14.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.1 | +6.1 | +0.3 | -1.3 |