Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +27.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -6.7 | +1.6 | +6.0 | -0.9 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 25% | 29% | 25% | -6.0 | +6.0 | +0.4 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Rio Tojyo | 17% | 29% | 29% | 25% | -0.5 | +8.8 | -0.2 | -8.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 17% | 36% | 28% | 20% | -10.6 | +15.1 | -2.6 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 48% | 23% | 17% | +13.3 | -6.6 | -3.1 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Shingo Hori | 19% | 44% | 22% | 16% | -3.6 | -4.3 | +9.2 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 15% | 39% | 29% | 16% | +27.5 | -23.7 | -1.4 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,900 | 36% | 21% | 28% | 15% | -4.8 | -4.6 | -3.3 | +12.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 33% | 18% | 27% | 23% | -2.6 | +31.6 | -23.3 | -5.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi | 28% | 43% | 13% | 16% | +8.5 | -1.2 | -8.7 | +1.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 4,800 from Go Kobayashi | 35% | 40% | 8% | 17% | +13.1 | -1.0 | -11.6 | -0.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 9,600 from Go Kobayashi | 47% | 35% | 5% | 13% | +24.0 | -6.9 | -16.3 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 71% | 19% | 1% | 9% | -4.3 | +1.2 | +3.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 70% | 21% | 1% | 8% | +9.5 | -8.2 | -0.8 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Shingo Hori | 86% | 7% | 1% | 6% | +0.6 | -8.2 | +6.6 | +1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 4% | 2% | 7% | -1.9 | -2.9 | +2.4 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 4% | 2% | 7% | -7.2 | -13.0 | +36.7 | -16.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 80% | 4% | 9% | 7% | +3.3 | +27.5 | -33.6 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 86% | 9% | 0% | 5% | +3.9 | -2.3 | +23.7 | -25.3 |