Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +23.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -5.4 | -2.6 | +7.2 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 26% | 28% | 24% | -10.6 | +6.2 | +1.8 | +2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,900 from Tojyo Rio | 16% | 27% | 30% | 27% | +3.8 | +7.4 | -0.9 | -10.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 18% | 33% | 29% | 20% | -12.5 | +15.3 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 46% | 26% | 18% | +11.0 | -4.0 | -2.4 | -4.6 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Hori Shingo | 16% | 44% | 25% | 15% | +1.8 | -5.8 | +7.2 | -3.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 38% | 31% | 14% | +23.6 | -20.0 | -3.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,900 | 35% | 22% | 28% | 15% | -2.3 | -4.9 | -3.3 | +10.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 34% | 20% | 26% | 20% | -3.7 | +29.9 | -22.8 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Kobayashi Go | 29% | 44% | 12% | 16% | +9.4 | -2.2 | -7.9 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 4,800 from Kobayashi Go | 36% | 40% | 9% | 15% | +13.3 | -2.2 | -11.2 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 9,600 from Kobayashi Go | 48% | 35% | 4% | 13% | +22.7 | -5.3 | -16.4 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,600 from Ooi Takaharu | 71% | 20% | 1% | 8% | -4.1 | +0.3 | +3.2 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo | 70% | 20% | 2% | 9% | +10.0 | -8.2 | -1.4 | -0.4 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Hori Shingo | 86% | 7% | 1% | 6% | +1.4 | -7.8 | +6.2 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 90% | 3% | 2% | 6% | -2.9 | -4.7 | +3.3 | +4.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 86% | 3% | 2% | 9% | -7.7 | -11.6 | +38.6 | -19.3 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 80% | 3% | 11% | 6% | +4.2 | +28.0 | -35.9 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 87% | 8% | 0% | 5% | +3.4 | -2.2 | +23.6 | -24.9 |