Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +30.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 22% | 25% | 26% | +27.5 | -5.8 | -11.7 | -10.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 19% | 16% | 17% | -4.0 | +0.8 | +6.5 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 19% | 20% | 17% | -1.4 | +6.0 | -3.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 4,000 | 43% | 23% | 18% | 16% | -3.7 | -11.0 | -4.0 | +18.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 16% | 17% | 27% | -0.9 | -3.3 | +7.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 14% | 22% | 25% | -4.4 | +28.8 | -16.6 | -7.8 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 33% | 11% | 21% | -6.9 | -3.1 | +23.8 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 30% | 33% | 25% | 12% | -1.1 | -1.7 | -20.5 | +23.3 |
| South 2 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Tomohiro Honda | 29% | 29% | 14% | 27% | -2.9 | -2.2 | -16.7 | +21.8 |
| South 3 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 24% | 25% | 7% | 45% | +2.4 | -27.9 | -5.3 | +30.8 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 9% | 1% | 0% | 89% | -20.7 | +30.4 | -12.8 | +3.2 |