Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+58.7pt). The game was decided in South 3: Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +31.1 | -11.8 | -7.7 | -11.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 16% | 18% | 15% | -5.6 | +1.4 | +3.9 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 46% | 18% | 21% | 16% | -3.2 | +8.7 | -2.3 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 24% | 20% | 16% | -0.3 | -11.3 | -6.3 | +17.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 43% | 16% | 16% | 26% | -1.7 | -3.8 | +6.4 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 14% | 20% | 25% | -7.1 | +28.6 | -13.7 | -7.8 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 34% | 12% | 21% | -4.3 | -4.0 | +23.7 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 32% | 31% | 26% | 12% | -3.1 | -0.7 | -20.2 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 28% | 30% | 15% | 27% | -0.7 | -2.3 | -18.4 | +21.4 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 26% | 24% | 6% | 44% | +0.5 | -27.3 | -5.1 | +31.9 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 8% | 1% | 1% | 91% | -20.6 | +30.4 | -12.6 | +2.8 |