Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/10 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +20.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 6,400 from Katsumata Kenji | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -19.5 | +2.4 | +17.2 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 24% | 38% | 24% | -35.7 | +44.5 | -8.5 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 59% | 22% | 18% | -3.9 | -7.3 | +13.5 | -2.3 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 50% | 33% | 16% | -1.6 | -8.3 | +18.2 | -8.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 37% | 51% | 11% | -1.9 | -4.8 | +10.5 | -3.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 29% | 63% | 8% | -1.9 | -1.5 | -2.7 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 1% | 28% | 61% | 10% | +4.5 | +2.9 | -4.6 | -2.8 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 33% | 58% | 8% | -7.9 | -8.9 | +20.1 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 14% | 82% | 4% | +17.2 | -25.6 | +5.9 | +2.5 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | +0.1 | +18.9 | -0.3 | -18.7 |
| South 4 | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -4.1 | +3.4 | -0.8 | +1.5 |