Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
10/10 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+69.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +18.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 6,400 from Kenji Katsumata | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -19.6 | 0.0 | +18.1 | +1.4 |
| East 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 18,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 15% | 24% | 37% | 25% | -36.2 | +45.1 | -6.5 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 58% | 23% | 17% | -4.2 | -8.0 | +13.6 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 1% | 48% | 35% | 16% | -2.8 | -7.8 | +17.1 | -6.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,000 | 1% | 37% | 49% | 12% | -0.7 | -4.9 | +10.6 | -5.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 29% | 62% | 9% | -2.7 | -0.5 | -2.2 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 28% | 61% | 10% | +4.3 | +3.2 | -3.6 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 33% | 60% | 7% | -7.8 | -9.8 | +18.7 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 14% | 82% | 5% | +16.9 | -25.5 | +6.3 | +2.3 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 1% | 97% | 3% | +0.5 | +18.5 | -0.6 | -18.4 |
| South 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -3.9 | +3.5 | -0.5 | +0.9 |